Modern seismic forecast is based on the evaluation of the tectonic stress, as a cause generating seismogenic conditions and triggering earthquakes (and or earthquake swarms), which may be preceded or followed by other processes: flashes or glows, magnetic or electrical field changes, various gases fumes, radio interference, changes in groundwater levels or coastal waters, volcanic activity, etc.
However, although such secondary processes have been the subject of studies and various campaigns of measurements that have ascertained the potential connection with the earthquake, they have not been framed yet in the context of adequate predictive models that allow efficient use, such as precursory phenomena measurable with strictly valid scientific methods, which are reproducible and therefore adoptable for the purpose of an effective predictability.
Nowadays, the scientific community unanimously agrees in affirming the non-predictability of earthquakes. Nonetheless, there are still several different lines of research carried out by scientists engaged in the model definition/validation of seismic precursors: gas emissions, electromagnetic seismic precursors (PSE), precursors probabilistic, seismic precursors based on a cosmo-weather tectonic approach (holistic approach of the Russian school), which associates sub-superficial electrical parameters measurements with cosmic environment parameter measurements (solar wind, geomagnetic field variations, …) near the Earth.
In this scenario and in light of the seismic events that have been affecting Italy in the recent years, the workshop organized by the University of Rome “Tor Vergata” – Department of Electrical Engineering together with the ARES Consortium and the ‘OSDIFE Observatory, aims to explore the state of the art proposed by different researchers and scientists on the subject of predictability of earthquakes, benefitting from the contribution of some of the world leading experts, the national scientific community, as well as the responsible institutions.
Registration Workshop (to send by email by April 10th 2017)
Extended abstract template (to send by email by April 10th 2017)